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News

Notes from the desks: markets, routes and the materials that move them. Written plainly, dated, and sourced.

24-07-2026

The LME says aluminium calmed down. Your invoice disagrees

The benchmark round-tripped its war spike and sits 15 per cent below the May peak. The premiums that decide what buyers actually pay did not follow it down, and most of them are not built to. Readi...

22-07-2026

Fertiliser today is the grain price of next year

Urea has doubled. Corn trades below break-even. One of those prices is wrong, and the direction of the correction is the trade. How to read the gap, and what to do about it, depending on which side...

17-07-2026

Your power tariff is indexed to a war. Your roof is not

For factories on European commercial tariffs, the electricity bill has spent 2026 tracking the Strait of Hormuz. The kit that would take you off that index has never been cheaper. That combination,...

15-07-2026

Europe has two critical minerals lists. Only one moves money

The Critical Raw Materials Act names 34 critical materials but reserves its binding targets, fast permits and buyer matchmaking for 17 strategic ones. Knowing which list your material sits on now d...

14-07-2026

The plastics bill for Hormuz is still being written

Crude has retraced. Resin has not. Five months into the strait crisis, the plastics chain is where the cost compounds.