Negative Fees Push Western Zinc Smelting Toward State Support

Negative Fees Push Western Zinc Smelting Toward State Support

Negative Fees Push Western Zinc Smelting Toward State Support

Nyrstar's zinc smelter at Budel-Dorplein, with a chimney, processing buildings, tanks and a conveyor beyond railway tracks and grass.
Nyrstar's zinc smelter near Budel-Dorplein in the Netherlands, photographed on 28 September 2013. Photo: Apdency, CC0 1.0, via Wikimedia Commons.

Collapsing fees for smelting zinc ore, now below zero on spot terms, pushed Nyrstar to ask governments for help; the support that came was given on the governments' own grounds.

Part two of two. This part covers Europe and the United States; part one covered Japan, South Korea and India.

The Miner Used to Pay the Smelter

A smelter has long been paid by the ore it works: the miner pays a fee to have its concentrate turned into metal. Boliden, in Swedish, calls the fee smältlön, the smelting wage.1 On spot terms the wage first fell below zero in 2024,2 and on 9 October Fastmarkets put it at a record minus $115 to minus $150 a tonne for concentrate shipped into China,3 so the smelter pays the miner for the right to work.

Nyrstar, then owner of Tennessee's Clarksville zinc smelter, carried the reversal to Washington in May 2025. It told a critical-minerals inquiry that the collapse of both the spot and annual fees put "enormous pressure on the profitability of smelters", which it called key sources of by-product critical minerals, and urged Washington to consider tariffs, price floors and faster permits.2 The smelter asked in the language of the fee. Seven months later the state spoke the language of strategy: $210 million for critical minerals in Clarksville, to the plant's next owner.4

Year Fee, dollars a tonne of concentrate Which fee Who pays whom
2023 274 Asian annual benchmark5 The miner pays the smelter
2024 165 Asian annual benchmark5 The miner pays the smelter
2025 80 Asian annual benchmark, the lowest on record6 The miner pays the smelter, barely
2026 85 Asian annual benchmark6 The miner pays the smelter, barely
October 2026 minus 115 to minus 150 Spot, on ore shipped into China3 The smelter pays the miner

The last row changes a smelter's business. Above zero, the miner's fee paid for furnace, power and payroll; below zero, a smelter buying spot ore must cover all three from the metals it recovers, or from somewhere else. Western smelters have not all lost the same wage: each plant's contract decides how much of the reversal reaches its accounts.

Smelters now pay miners on spot terms: the fee used to flow from the miner to the smelter, and on spot terms it now flows the other way. Yearly contract fees were $274 a tonne in 2023, $165 in 2024, $80 in 2025 and $85 in 2026, all paid by the miner to the smelter. The spot fee for concentrated ore shipped into China was minus $115 to minus $150 a tonne on 9 October 2026, so the smelter pays the miner. One axis centred on zero: left of zero is labelled 'Smelter pays the miner' and right of zero 'Miner pays the smelter'. Four labelled dots sit on the right, one per year, and one labelled band sits on the left. Source: Reuters; Fastmarkets, 11 March and 14 October 2026.
Figure 1. Smelters Now Pay Miners on Spot Terms. Source: Reuters, 2 April 2024, and Korea Zinc, 16 August 2025 (2023 and 2024 contracts); Fastmarkets, 11 March 2026 (2025 and 2026 contracts) and 14 October 2026 (spot range). Basis: reported.

Whoever Pays Now Sits Far From the Furnace

A smelter that loses its wage has three possible payers, none at the furnace: a government in its budget, a group in its accounts, a buyer in the premium.

Boliden is the awkward witness. The spot fee it reports fell from minus $30 a tonne in March to minus $78 in June, yet its smelter segment's operating profit before inventory revaluation rose to SEK 707 million in the second quarter, from 585 million a year earlier.1 Boliden says dearer metal, acid and premiums fully made up for lower volumes and weaker fees. The segment mixes copper, nickel, zinc and lead plants, so the profit belongs to a group.

An analyst at the LME seminar on 19 October said record-low fees, "weakening byproduct credits" and dear energy have left smelters "now loss-making".7 Boliden credits a by-product, acid, with part of its gain. Both can be true, because a credit that weakens across the market can still rise for a group that sells acid and copper too.

Europe's Smelters Wait on Berlin and The Hague

Europe has made more refined zinc than it used in four of the last five years, 2,174 thousand tonnes against 1,979 thousand in 2025.8 That gap is a flow, not a stock, and the industry's study group expects European output "to fall substantially this year".9

Europe made more refined zinc than it used in four of the five years from 2021 to 2025; only in 2022 did use exceed production. In 2025 Europe made 2,174 thousand tonnes and used 1,979 thousand, a gap of 195 thousand; production was 2,497 against use of 2,362 in 2021, 2,200 against 2,250 in 2022, 2,124 against 2,046 in 2023 and 2,117 against 1,912 in 2024. Dot plot with one row per year, a dot for production and a dot for use joined by a line, on an axis that starts at 1,800 thousand tonnes. The region is the study group's Europe, wider than the EU. Source: ILZSG, 24 February 2026.
Figure 2. Europe Has Made More Refined Zinc Than It Used in Most Recent Years. Source: International Lead and Zinc Study Group, press release of 24 February 2026 (refined production and usage tables); October 2026 outlook for the forecast wording. Basis: reported regional totals.

Budel's Fee Problem Becomes a Power Request

Budel, in the Netherlands, is the plant that cannot carry the loss alone. On 24 September Nyrstar put it under review, citing historically low fees and high energy costs; its chief executive, Guido Janssen, said the plant "is losing money every year".10 At full capacity Budel needs as much electricity as Eindhoven.11 It sells acid, cadmium and a copper and cobalt cake too,12 and Nyrstar has not said what they earn or what fee Budel pays. Market participants told Fastmarkets the fee is Budel's bigger problem, with power compounding it.3 Yet the fee arrives at The Hague as a power bill.

Governments Pay for Power but Not the Fee

The Hague has paid part of that bill. In 2024 it reopened compensation for the carbon cost in power prices with EUR 186 million, which Nyrstar, citing better markets too, said helped Budel restart.13 Its 2027 budget carries EUR 574 million of the same compensation,14 but not the grid-cost relief Nyrstar wanted.10 Berlin cuts the power price itself, and pays later: Germany's industrial power price, approved in Brussels in April, halves the wholesale price on half the power used in eligible activities, never below EUR 50 a megawatt hour.15 Zinc is an eligible sector, and applications and the first payments come in 2027.16 Power relief can keep a plant open without making it pay.

Nordenham's Contract Shields It From the Fee

Nordenham, Glencore's German zinc smelter, moves the fee by contract instead. It works on a toll-manufacturing, cost-plus model, and says in its 2024 accounts that zinc prices, fees and premiums have only a minor influence on its result.17 Yet its operator said in 2025 that niedrige Hüttenlöhne, low smelting wages, weigh on the business beside energy costs.18 The contract shields the local accounts; the fee is felt somewhere above them, in a chain nobody has published.

Washington Acts on Its Own Grounds

America has the reverse of Europe's problem: ore without furnaces. It refined 220 thousand tonnes of zinc in 2025 and used 820 thousand, relying on net imports for 73 per cent of its use.19 Its mines dug three times that, and most of the concentrate left the country, so Washington's answer is a furnace at home.

Most of the refined zinc America uses is imported: of 820 thousand tonnes of apparent consumption in 2025, about 600 thousand were imported refined zinc and 220 thousand were made in the United States. USGS puts net import reliance at 73 per cent of apparent consumption. One horizontal bar split into two parts, imports highlighted. Refined exports of 2 thousand tonnes are left out; the figures are USGS estimates. Source: USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026.
Figure 3. America Imports Most of the Refined Zinc It Uses. Source: U.S. Geological Survey, Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026, Zinc. Basis: reported estimates; net import reliance is the USGS figure.

Korea Zinc bought Nyrstar's US assets, Clarksville among them, on 1 April 2026.20 Months earlier, Commerce had awarded its subsidiary Crucible Metals $210 million under the CHIPS and Science Act for a Clarksville plant making 13 critical and strategic minerals.4 Semiconductor money went to a zinc smelter, and Commerce did not mention the fee in announcing it. Tennessee added $45 million, permits went on a federal fast track,2122 and construction is due in 2027.23 Nyrstar asked Washington to protect the industry; Washington backed a new plant, for reasons of its own.

Washington also has votes: a 40.0 per cent voting interest in Crucible JV LLC, which owns 10.59 per cent of Korea Zinc and no direct share of the smelter.24 Nothing yet shows silver paying for Clarksville, but Washington's partner earns more from silver than from zinc: in the first half Korea Zinc sold more than twice as much of it, by value.25

Buyers Pay a Dearer Premium in Rotterdam

The third payer is the buyer. The Fastmarkets premium for high-grade zinc at Rotterdam, what a buyer pays above the exchange price, rose to $330 a tonne on 13 October from $217.50 in early March;3 on 1,000 tonnes, about $112,500 more.26 It is an assessment, not an invoice, and cannot show whose lost fee it replaces. But at Boliden, by its own account, higher premiums helped make up for weaker fees:1 there the buyer already pays part of the smelter's wage.

Europe's zinc premium has climbed far above its March level: $330 a tonne on 13 October 2026, up $112.50 or about 52 per cent from $217.50 at the start of March. Dumbbell on an axis from $200 to $350 with a dot for March and a dot for October joined by a line. The figure is the Fastmarkets assessment, dp fca Rotterdam, not an in-warehouse price. Argus reported in November 2025 that most European market participants expected 2026 long-term premiums near $220 a tonne. Source: Fastmarkets, 14 October 2026; Argus, 21 November 2025.
Figure 4. Europe's Zinc Premium Has Climbed Far Above Its March Level. Source: Fastmarkets, 14 October 2026 (premium, dp fca Rotterdam, SHG min 99.995% ingot); Argus, 21 November 2025 (expected long-term level). Basis: reported assessments.

Weak Fees Send Some Smelters to the State

GEB's judgement is that collapsing fees push Western smelting toward the state through the asking: they pushed Nyrstar to ask, and the states that gave support gave it on their own grounds. Nyrstar carried the fee to Washington, and publicly to The Hague, and Trafigura, its owner, and Glencore both reported fees at times negative in their 2024 financial years.2728 Each payer pays something, in its own currency: The Hague part of Budel's power bill, Boliden's other metals, Boliden's buyers the premium.

If new mines lift the spot fee back above zero, the miner pays the smelter again, and Budel's case rests on its power bill alone. Boliden reports its third quarter on 29 October:29 another rise on a year earlier would show a group can carry a negative fee, and a fall would strengthen the operators' case for the state.

The miner once paid for the furnace. Where it has stopped, the smelter turns to the state, which pays for the power the furnace burns and the minerals it recovers, but not for the fee.

What GEB can do next

GEB offers a free consultation on how its intelligence services could help a business that buys or sells zinc in Europe or the United States. A zinc review can trace who stands behind a supplier's smelter: its group, its contracts, its power costs and any public support. Any further work would be agreed separately, and this invitation carries no claim of available material, price or secured supply. Find your products

Evidence and limits

The negative fee is Fastmarkets' spot assessment for concentrate shipped into China; the annual benchmark stayed positive, and Western plants do not publish the fees they pay. Boliden's smelter result covers copper, nickel, zinc and lead plants together, and its second-quarter profit fell from the first quarter. The International Lead and Zinc Study Group's Europe is wider than the EU, and its 2025 figures are preliminary. The US import figure is net import reliance on apparent consumption, as the USGS defines it. Federal and Tennessee support has been awarded and approved; payment and construction lie ahead. Germany's power price covers zinc as a sector and pays from 2027. The Rotterdam premium is an assessment, not a transaction price. The seminar quotation comes from GEB's transcript of the session, which does not identify speakers, so the analyst is not named. Budel's power draw, compared with Eindhoven's, was reported in 2024.

Notes

  1. Boliden, "Delårsrapport för andra kvartalet 2026", interim report for the second quarter, Stockholm, 21 July 2026, read in Swedish: smältlön, the spot and annual fees, the smelter segment's profit, the drivers Boliden says "kompenserade fullt ut", and the segment's five units. https://attachment.news.eu.nasdaq.com/ac625911cefa48eba1f87c3805b737085 ↩
  2. Nyrstar, "Comments from Nyrstar on Zinc, Germanium and Gallium for the Section 232 Critical Minerals Investigation", May 2025, docket BIS-2025-0025-0123, pages 2, 3, 8 to 10 and 15, by the document's own page labels, the sub-zero spot fee of 2024 on page 8. https://downloads.regulations.gov/BIS-2025-0025-0123/attachment_1.pdf ↩
  3. Fastmarkets, "Base metals head to LME Week 2026 with record-low TCs, war-hit supply chains", 14 October 2026: the China-import spot assessment of 9 October, market participants' view of Budel, and the SHG minimum 99.995 per cent ingot premium, duty paid FCA Rotterdam, on 13 October against early March. https://www.fastmarkets.com/insights/base-metals-head-to-lme-week-2026-with-record-low-tcs-war-hit-supply-chains/ ↩
  4. US Department of Commerce and NIST, "Department of Commerce awards CHIPS incentives to subsidiary of Korea Zinc, Crucible Metals", 15 December 2025: $210 million in direct funding under the CHIPS and Science Act, 13 critical and strategic minerals, operation by 2029, and conditional loans from the Office of Strategic Capital. https://www.nist.gov/news-events/news/2025/12/department-commerce-awards-chips-incentives-subsidiary-korea-zinc-crucible ↩
  5. Korea Zinc, seventh letter to shareholders, 16 August 2025, read in Korean, for the Asian annual benchmarks of 2023, 2024 and 2025. https://campaign.koreazinc.co.kr/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/%EA%B3%A0%EB%A0%A4%EC%95%84%EC%97%B0-%EC%A3%BC%EC%A3%BC-%EC%97%AC%EB%9F%AC%EB%B6%84%EA%BB%98-%EB%93%9C%EB%A6%AC%EB%8A%94-%EC%9D%BC%EA%B3%B1%EB%B2%88%EC%A7%B8-%EC%84%9C%ED%95%9C_250816.pdf ↩
  6. Fastmarkets, "Teck, Korea Zinc benchmark zinc concentrate TCs at $85 per tonne", 11 March 2026, which calls the 2025 level an all-time low. https://www.fastmarkets.com/insights/teck-korea-zinc-benchmark-zinc-concentrate-tcs-85-per-tonne/ ↩
  7. LME metals seminar, London, 19 October 2026, zinc session, from GEB's transcript; the transcript does not label speakers, and no public recording was found. ↩
  8. International Lead and Zinc Study Group, press release with preliminary 2025 data, 24 February 2026, refined production and usage tables for Europe. https://www.ilzsg.org/wp-content/uploads/3.PRESS%20RELEASES/ILZSG%20February%202026%20Zn.pdf ↩
  9. International Lead and Zinc Study Group, press release, 19 October 2026, on the outlook for European refined output. https://www.ilzsg.org/wp-content/uploads/3.PRESS%20RELEASES/ILZSG%20October%202026%20Press%20Release.pdf ↩
  10. Nyrstar, "Nyrstar launches Strategic Business Review of Budel operations", 24 September 2026, for the pressures, the Dutch budget and the timetable; Reuters, "Nyrstar launches strategic review of Dutch zinc smelting operations", 24 September 2026, via Kitco, for the chief executive's words. https://www.nyrstar.com/resource-center/press-releases/nyrstar-launches-strategic-business-review-of-budel-operations and https://www.kitco.com/news/off-the-wire/2026-09-24/nyrstar-launches-strategic-review-dutch-zinc-smelting-operations ↩
  11. Omroep Brabant, "Zinkfabriek ligt stil: 'dringend' geld nodig van de overheid", 3 April 2024, read in Dutch. https://www.omroepbrabant.nl/nieuws/4445361/zinkfabriek-ligt-stil-dringend-geld-nodig-van-de-overheid ↩
  12. Nyrstar, "Nyrstar Budel", operations page: special high grade zinc and alloys, with cadmium, copper and cobalt cake, sulphuric acid and a lead and precious-metals leach product. https://www.nyrstar.com/operations/metals-processing/nyrstar-budel ↩
  13. Tweede Kamer, First Supplementary Budget 2024, document 2024D14401, read in Dutch, for the EUR 186 million reopening of compensation for indirect ETS costs, paid on 2023 costs; Nyrstar, "Nyrstar's Budel zinc smelting operations to restart", 30 April 2024, which credits the scheme's temporary return and improved market conditions for the restart in May 2024. https://www.tweedekamer.nl/downloads/document?id=2024D14401 and https://www.nyrstar.com/resource-center/press-releases/nyrstars-budel-zinc-smelting-operations-to-restart ↩
  14. Rijksoverheid, "Prinsjesdag 2026: nieuwe investeringen in innovatieve economie, klimaat en energie", 15 September 2026, read in Dutch, for EUR 574 million of indirect ETS cost compensation for energy-intensive industry. https://www.rijksoverheid.nl/actueel/nieuws/2026/09/15/prinsjesdag-2026-nieuwe-investeringen-innovatieve-economie-klimaat-energie ↩
  15. European Commission, State Aid SA.120495, decision of 16 April 2026, recitals 7 to 12: the years 2026 to 2028, half the yearly average wholesale price on half of eligible consumption and a floor of EUR 50 a megawatt hour in recitals 8 to 10, and half the aid to be reinvested. https://ec.europa.eu/competition/state_aid/cases1/202618/SA_120495_40.pdf ↩
  16. Rödl & Partner, "Strompreisentlastungen: Industriestrompreis kommt", 27 April 2026, read in German, for the application timetable; sector eligibility follows recital 51 of the decision in note 15, which admits the sectors of Annex I of the Commission's climate, energy and environmental aid guidelines, among them lead, zinc and tin production under NACE 24.43; recital 23 sets the application window and recital 29 sets payment in the following year. https://www.roedl.com/insights/strompreisentlastungen-industriestrompreis-kommt/ ↩
  17. Nordenhamer Zinkhütte GmbH, audited annual accounts for 2024, published in the Bundestag lobby register, read in German, for the toll-manufacturing and cost-plus model in place since 2014. https://www.lobbyregister.bundestag.de/media/0a/be/542254/Nordenhamer-Zinkhuette-GmbH-JA-2024-Finales-Testatsexemplar-mit-QES.pdf ↩
  18. Glencore Nordenham, "Glencore Nordenham will Standort wettbewerbsfähig für die Zukunft aufstellen", 16 September 2025, read in German. https://www.glencore-nordenham.de/de/aktuelles/nachrichten/glencore-nordenham-will-standort-swettbewerbsfaehig-fuer-die-zukunft-aufstellen ↩
  19. US Geological Survey, Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026, Zinc, for 2025: refined production, apparent consumption, net import reliance on apparent consumption, mine production of 670 thousand tonnes and exports of ores and concentrates of 630 thousand tonnes; the threefold comparison is GEB's calculation from the table. https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-zinc.pdf ↩
  20. Nyrstar, "Nyrstar completes sale of its US assets to Korea Zinc", 2 April 2026. https://www.nyrstar.com/resource-center/press-releases/nyrstar-completes-sale-of-its-us-assets-to-korea-zinc ↩
  21. Tennessee State Funding Board, minutes of the meeting of 23 February 2026, for the $45 million FastTrack grant to Korea Zinc and Crucible Metals. https://comptroller.tn.gov/content/dam/cot/tsfb/documents/minutes/2026/2026.02.23SFBMinutes.pdf ↩
  22. Bloomberg Tax, "Trump Agency Moves to Speed Up Rare US Zinc Refining Expansion", 24 April 2026, on the project's coverage under FAST-41. https://news.bloombergtax.com/esg/trump-agency-moves-to-speed-up-rare-us-zinc-refining-expansion ↩
  23. S&P Global Commodity Insights, "Korea Zinc launches Crucible Zinc to build US critical metals smelter", 2 April 2026. https://spglobal.com/energy/en/news-research/latest-news/metals/040226-korea-zinc-launches-crucible-zinc-to-build-us-critical-metals-smelter ↩
  24. Korea Zinc, corrected Korea Exchange filing on the capital increase, 24 December 2025, for the US Government's combined 40.0 per cent voting interest in Crucible JV LLC, split between the War and Commerce departments; Crucible JV LLC, large-shareholding report, 5 January 2026, for its 10.59 per cent of Korea Zinc. https://kind.krx.co.kr/external/2025/12/24/000643/20251224001761/11306.htm and https://kind.krx.co.kr/external/2026/01/05/000764/20260105002073/00636.htm ↩
  25. The Korea Herald, on Korea Zinc's first-half results, 5 August 2026: 4.11 trillion won of silver sales against 1.56 trillion won of zinc. https://www.koreaherald.com/article/10832133 ↩
  26. GEB calculation from note 3: $330 less $217.50 is $112.50 a tonne, or $112,500 on 1,000 tonnes at the assessed premium. ↩
  27. Trafigura Group, Annual Report 2024, for the financial year to 30 September 2024, Nyrstar review, on reduced and at times negative treatment charges. https://www.trafigura.com/media/svxjrmd1/2024_trafigura_annual_report.pdf ↩
  28. Glencore, Annual Report 2025, page 170, on 2024 treatment-charge revenue in zinc and copper custom metallurgy, which it says reached record lows and at times was even negative. https://www.glencore.com/.rest/api/v1/documents/static/9b103e11-72e7-40bf-ae7c-eabe57361522/GLEN-2025-Annual-Report.pdf ↩
  29. Boliden, "Inbjudan presentation av Bolidens Q3 2026 rapport", 9 October 2026, via Placera, giving 29 October as the report date. https://www.placera.se/pressmeddelanden/boliden-inbjudan-presentation-av-bolidens-q3-2026-rapport-20261009 ↩